Trump is not inevitable

Update: another interesting take on the primary results thus far.  Again, this emphasizes Trump is not a fait accompli unless accepted as such.


Journalistic abuse is at its most obvious during an election year.  Reporters latch onto narratives (“candidate x is ‘unelectable;'”  “Trump’s momentum is unstoppable,” etc) rather than presenting facts objectively and allowing the citizen to make up their own mind.

After yesterday’s Super Tuesday results, the headlines revolve around the fact Trump won seven of the 11 states in play.  If mentioned at all, it’s noted that Cruz won “only” three (Texas, Oklahoma and Alaska).  Certainly sounds like Trump has jumped out to an insurmountable lead, doesn’t it?

Until you look at it this way:

Super Tuesday - NYT - 3-2-2016

Granted, Trump has more delegates than, say, Ted Cruz at this early point.  It’s important to note, however, that most of Cruz’s delegates were won yesterday (Texas is one of the bigger states, with more delegates up for grabs).  So counting “number of states won” is a misleading assessment at best (Vermont, for instance, had 16 delegates at stake yesterday; Texas 155!)  Instead of crafting a story about Trump’s supposed inevitability, the facts from yesterday would just as easily support a narrative that opposition to Trump may be finally coalescing around Ted Cruz.  Counting “superdelegates,” (a party practice I have a huge problem with, but that must be acknowledged as part of the process) Trump has garnered 488 delegates to Ted Cruz’s 305.  More than 1200 are needed for the nomination.  Put that way, Trump’s lead doesn’t sound nearly as commanding as “seven states to three,” does it?

I’m not here to say Ted Cruz is a perfect candidate.  I do believe he has more strength of conviction behind the conservative positions he espouses than does Trump the Opportunist.  As a Senator Cruz opposed the “Gang of 8” immigration amnesty bill that Marco Rubio was heavily involved with (and that alone sets my preference between those two right there, since I believe cutting off the invasion flood of ‘immigration’ is the essential issue of this election).  Finally, let’s face it: if the main reason for voting for Trump is the perception the establishment hates him (and I’ll be the first to admit I’m an anti-establishment voter), then Cruz is certainly a viable alternative:

South Carolina Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham thinks his party has gone “bats—” crazy, and joked Thursday that it’s possible to get away with murdering Ted Cruz if it happened in the Senate.

If you killed Ted Cruz on the floor of the Senate, and the trial was in the Senate, nobody would convict you,” the former presidential candidate said at the Washington Press Club Foundation’s 72nd Congressional Dinner, referencing the Texas senator’s unpopular reputation on Capitol Hill.

(For the record I cannot stand Lindsey Graham, so if a politician is known by his enemies that’s an endorsement for Cruz!)

I have not yet made up my mind about which candidate to support, so do not construe this post as a whole-hearted endorsement of Cruz.  I am admittedly leaning that way, but my research there is ongoing.  What this post is meant to be is an antidote to the various media ‘narratives’ out there that are already trying to turn the 2016 election into Trump versus Clinton.  There are far too many variables still in play–including legal action against against both Trump and Her Hillariness–for that to be the case, so don’t meekly accept it as a foregone conclusion.

Do your due diligence, America.  Vote for for the candidate you believe in, not the one “everyone” is telling you is inevitable/’electable.’ Listening to those media-enhanced voices simply creates a self-fulfilling prophecy.  We should all know by now the lack of wisdom inherent in an argument that begins “well everybody knows…”

Be independent and follow your own conscience.  Not the masses.  And whatever you do, America, don’t let the justifiable anger you feel towards our governing class cause you to take an emotionally driven act you may later regret.  Plenty of people were only too happy to see Caesar cross the Rubicon, too…



2 thoughts on “Trump is not inevitable

  1. Reblogged this on genesismomblog and commented:
    Be strong and be of good courage…God is still in control! For all my more like-minded conservative Christian friends, I hope you read this post. Elections have consequences, don’t forget. Don’t stay home in November, and begin the process, if you haven’t already, to really check out the candidates. We have no modern day Moses, just Jesus. Pray for our country, it’s voting citizens and for God’s will (and contentment for the afterward).

  2. Pingback: “What I meant to say was…” – A True Progressive

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